Scientific publications

Arroyo-Currás, T., N. Bauer, E. Kriegler, et al. (2015): Carbon leakage in a fragmented climate regime: The dynamic response of global energy markets. Technological Forecasting and Social Change 90, 192–203. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.techfore.2013.10.002. pdf

Bauer, N., V. Bosetti, M. Hamdi-Cherif, et al. (2015): CO2 emission mitigation and fossil fuel markets: Dynamic and international aspects of climate policies. Technological Forecasting and Social Change 90, 243–256. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.techfore.2013.09.009. pdf

Bertram, C., N. Johnson, G. Luderer, et al. (2015): Carbon lock-in through capital stock inertia associated with weak near-term climate policies. Technological Forecasting and Social Change 90, 62–72. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.techfore.2013.10.001. pdf

Bibas, R., A. Méjean, M. Hamdi-Cherif (2015): Energy efficiency policies and the timing of action: An assessment of climate mitigation costs. Technological Forecasting and Social Change 90, 137–152. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.techfore.2014.05.003. pdf

Bollen, J. (2015): The value of air pollution co-benefits of climate policies: Analysis with a global sector-trade CGE model called WorldScan. Technological Forecasting and Social Change 90, 178–191. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.techfore.2014.10.008. pdf

Capros, P., L. Paroussos, P. Fragkos, et al. (2014): European decarbonisation pathways under alternative technological and policy choices: A multi-model analysis. Energy Strategy Reviews 2, Issue 3-4: 231-245. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.esr.2013.12.007. pdf

Capros, P., L. Paroussos, P. Fragkos, et al. (2014): Description of models and scenarios used to assess European decarbonisation pathways. Energy Strategy Reviews 2, Issue 3-4: 220-230. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.esr.2013.12.007. pdf

Criqui, P., S. Mima, P. Menanteau, A. Kitous (2015): Mitigation strategies and energy technology learning: An assessment with the POLES model. Technological Forecasting and Social Change 90, 119–136. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.techfore.2014.05.005.

Eom, J., Edmonds, J., V. Krey, et al. (2015): The impact of near-term climate policy choices on technology and emission transition pathways. Technological Forecasting and Social Change 90, 73–88. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.techfore.2013.09.017. pdf

Harmsen, M. J. H. M., D. P. van Vuuren, M. van den Berg, et al. (2015): How well do integrated assessment models represent non-CO2 radiative forcing? Climatic Change 133, Issue 4: 565–582. https://doi.org/10.1007/s10584-015-1485-0. pdf

Harmsen, M. J. H. M., M. van den Berg, V. Krey, et al. (2016): How climate metrics affect global mitigation strategies and costs: a multi-model study. Climatic Change 136, Issue 2, 203–216. https://doi.org/10.1007/s10584-016-1603-7. pdf

Iyer, G., N. Hultman, J. Eom, et al. (2015): Diffusion of low-carbon technologies and the feasibility of long-term climate targets. Technological Forecasting and Social Change 90, 103–118. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.techfore.2013.08.025.

Johnson, N., V. Krey, D. L. McCollum, et al. (2015): Stranded on a low-carbon planet. Implications of climate policy for the phase-out of coal-based power plants. Technological Forecasting and Social Change 90, 89–102. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.techfore.2014.02.028. pdf

Kriegler, E., K. Riahi, V. Bosetti, P. Capros, D. van Vuuren, J. Weyant, O. Edenhofer (guest eds.) (2015): The AMPERE intermodel comparison on the economics of climate stabilization. Special section. Technological Forecasting and Social Change 90, 1–354.

Kriegler, E., K. Riahi, V. Bosetti, et al. (2015): Introduction to the AMPERE model intercomparison studies on the economics of climate stabilization. Technological Forecasting and Social Change 90, 1–7. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.techfore.2014.10.012. pdf

Kriegler, E., K. Riahi, N. Bauer, et al. (2015): Making or breaking climate targets: The AMPERE study on staged accession scenarios for climate policy. Technological Forecasting and Social Change 90, 24–44. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.techfore.2013.09.021. pdf

Kriegler, E., K. Riahi, N. Bauer, et al. (2015): A short note on integrated assessment modeling approaches: Rejoinder to the review of “Making or breaking climate targets — The AMPERE study on staged accession scenarios for climate policy”. Technological Forecasting and Social Change 99, 273-276. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.techfore.2015.07.011. pdf

Lowe, J. A.,  D. Bernie (2018): The impact of Earth system feedbacks on carbon budgets and climate response.

Marcucci,  A., H. Turton (2015): Induced technological change in moderate and fragmented climate change mitigation regimes. Technological Forecasting and Social Change 90, 230–242. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.techfore.2013.10.027. pdf

Marcucci, A., P. Fragkos (2015): Drivers of regional decarbonization through 2100: A multi-model decomposition analysis. Energy Economics 51, 111–124. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.eneco.2015.06.009. pdf

Otto, S., D. Gernaat, M. Isaac, et al. (2015): Impact of fragmented emission reduction regimes on the energy market and on CO2 emissions related to land use: A case study with China and the European Union as first movers. Technological Forecasting and Social Change 90, 220–229. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.techfore.2014.01.015. pdf

Paroussos, L., Fragkos, P. Capros, K. Fragkiadakis (2015): Assessment of carbon leakage through the industry channel: The EU perspective. Technological Forecasting and Social Change 90, 204–219. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.techfore.2014.02.011. pdf

Riahi, K., E. Kriegler, N. Johnson, et al. (2015): Locked into Copenhagen pledges - Implications of short-term emission targets for the cost and feasibility of long-term climate goals. Technological Forecasting and Social Change 90, 8–23. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.techfore.2013.09.016. pdf

Riahi, K., E. Kriegler, N. Johnson, et al. (2015): Diagnostic indicators for integrated assessment models of climate policy. Technological Forecasting and Social Change 90, 45–61. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.techfore.2013.09.020. pdf

Sano, F., K. Wada, K. Akimoto, J. Oda (2015): Assessments of GHG emission reduction scenarios of different levels and different short-term pledges through macro- and sectoral decomposition analyses. Technological Forecasting and Social Change 90, 153–165. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.techfore.2013.11.002. pdf

Schaeffer, M., L. Gohar, E. Kriegler, et al. (2015): Mid- and long-term climate projections for fragmented and delayed-action scenarios. Technological Forecasting and Social Change 90, 257–268. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.techfore.2013.09.013. pdf

Schwanitz, V. J., T. Longden, B. Knopf, P. Capros (2015): The implications of initiating immediate climate change mitigation — A potential for co-benefits? Technological Forecasting and Social Change 90, 166–177. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.techfore.2014.01.003. pdf

Schwanitz, V. J. (2013): Evaluating integrated assessment models of global climate change. Environmental and Modelling Software 50, 120-131. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.envsoft.2013.09.005. pdf

Schwanitz, V. J., F. Piontek, C. Bertram, G. Luderer (2014): Long-term climate policy implications of phasing out fossil fuel subsidies. Energy Policy 67, 882-894. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.enpol.2013.12.015pdf